AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Persian Gulf Pro League Sep 26, 2025

Esteghlal Khuzestan

Home
VS
15:45

Mes Rafsanjan

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Esteghlal Khuzestan Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Mes Rafsanjan Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.77 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Esteghlal Khuzestan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Mes Rafsanjan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Esteghlal… vs Aluminium… 2-0
Sep 12 Esteghlal… vs Esteghlal… 1-0
Aug 25 Esteghlal… vs Paykan 1-1
Aug 19 Esteghlal… vs Shams Aza… 1-1
May 15 Esteghlal… vs Tractor 1-3
May 01 Esteghlal… vs Kheybar K… 0-0
Apr 17 Esteghlal… vs ZOB Ahan 1-0
Apr 05 Esteghlal… vs Persepolis 0-0
Mar 14 Esteghlal… vs Mes Rafsa… 0-0
Feb 20 Esteghlal… vs Chadormal… 3-0
Mes Rafsanjan Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Mes Rafsa… vs Shams Aza… 0-0
Sep 13 Mes Rafsa… vs ZOB Ahan 2-0
Aug 26 Mes Rafsa… vs Tractor 0-0
Aug 18 Mes Rafsa… vs Kheybar K… 3-2
May 15 Mes Rafsa… vs Kheybar K… 0-0
May 08 Mes Rafsa… vs ZOB Ahan 2-1
May 01 Mes Rafsa… vs Persepolis 0-3
Mar 30 Mes Rafsa… vs Malavan B… 3-0
Mar 14 Mes Rafsa… vs Esteghlal… 0-0
Mar 07 Mes Rafsa… vs Shams Aza… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 14, 2025 Mes Rafsanjan 0 - 0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Persian Gulf P…
Oct 17, 2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan 3 - 2 Mes Rafsanjan Persian Gulf P…
May 28, 2024 Mes Rafsanjan 2 - 3 Esteghlal Khuzestan Persian Gulf P…
Dec 24, 2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan 2 - 1 Mes Rafsanjan Persian Gulf P…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Esteghlal Khuzestan to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Esteghlal Khuzestan Power 0
Mes Rafsanjan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Esteghlal Khuzestan Position

+2

Position Gap

16

Mes Rafsanjan Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.