AI Match Insights

Thai League 1 Oct 18, 2025

Ratchaburi

Home
VS
11:30

Lamphun Warrior

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Ratchaburi Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Lamphun Warrior Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.95 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.6 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ratchaburi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Lamphun Warrior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Ratchaburi Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Ratchaburi vs Prachuap 1-0
Oct 05 Ratchaburi vs Khon Kaen… 2-1
Oct 04 Ratchaburi vs Port FC 8-0
Oct 02 Ratchaburi vs Gamba Osa… 0-2
Sep 28 Ratchaburi vs Bangkok G… 0-1
Sep 28 Ratchaburi vs Mahasarak… 2-2
Sep 27 Ratchaburi vs Lamphun W… 4-0
Sep 21 Ratchaburi vs Muangthon… 1-3
Sep 20 Ratchaburi vs Prachuap 2-0
Sep 20 Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Ra… 1-3
Lamphun Warrior Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Lamphun W… vs Muangthon… 2-2
Sep 27 Lamphun W… vs Ratchaburi 4-0
Sep 20 Lamphun W… vs Nakhon Ra… 2-2
Sep 13 Lamphun W… vs Sukhothai… 1-2
Aug 30 Lamphun W… vs Chonburi … 2-2
Aug 23 Lamphun W… vs Bangkok G… 2-1
Aug 16 Lamphun W… vs Buriram U… 2-3
Apr 19 Lamphun W… vs Nakhon Ra… 1-1
Apr 05 Lamphun W… vs Prachuap 2-1
Mar 14 Lamphun W… vs Bangkok G… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ratchaburi struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Ratchaburi 4 - 0 Lamphun Warrior Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ratchaburi to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ratchaburi Power 0
Lamphun Warrior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Ratchaburi Position

+11

Position Gap

13

Lamphun Warrior Position

Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.