AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Thai League 1 Oct 05, 2025

Buriram United

Home
VS
12:00

Bangkok Glass

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Buriram United Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Bangkok Glass Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 1.98 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Buriram United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Bangkok Glass Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Buriram United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Buriram U… vs FC Seoul 3-0
Sep 27 Buriram U… vs Ayutthaya… 1-4
Sep 24 Buriram U… vs Bangkok G… 2-2
Sep 21 Buriram U… vs Bangkok G… 1-2
Sep 16 Buriram U… vs Johor Dar… 2-1
Sep 12 Buriram U… vs Prachuap 2-0
Aug 31 Buriram U… vs Chiangrai… 1-2
Aug 24 Buriram U… vs Uthai Tha… 5-1
Aug 20 Buriram U… vs Selangor 1-1
Aug 16 Buriram U… vs Lamphun W… 2-3
Bangkok Glass Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Bangkok G… vs Chiangrai… 0-1
Oct 02 Bangkok G… vs Tampines … 2-1
Oct 01 Bangkok G… vs Persib Ba… 0-2
Sep 28 Bangkok G… vs Port FC 2-0
Sep 28 Bangkok G… vs Ratchaburi 0-1
Sep 28 Bangkok G… vs Kasetsart… 0-2
Sep 24 Bangkok G… vs Buriram U… 2-2
Sep 21 Bangkok G… vs Buriram U… 1-2
Sep 21 Bangkok G… vs Chiangrai… 1-0
Sep 20 Bangkok G… vs Mahasarak… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Buriram United in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bangkok Glass struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 24, 2025 Bangkok Glass 2 - 2 Buriram United ASEAN Club Cha…
Sep 21, 2025 Bangkok Glass 1 - 2 Buriram United Thai League 1
May 10, 2025 Buriram United 3 - 0 Bangkok Glass FA Cup
May 07, 2025 Bangkok Glass 0 - 0 Buriram United ASEAN Club Cha…
Apr 16, 2025 Bangkok Glass 1 - 2 Buriram United League Cup
Apr 12, 2025 Buriram United 1 - 2 Bangkok Glass Thai League 1
Apr 02, 2025 Buriram United 3 - 1 Bangkok Glass ASEAN Club Cha…
Feb 26, 2025 Buriram United 3 - 1 Bangkok Glass League Cup
Jan 12, 2025 Bangkok Glass 3 - 2 Buriram United Thai League 1
Dec 29, 2024 Bangkok Glass 0 - 2 Buriram United Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Buriram United to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Buriram United Power 0
Bangkok Glass Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Buriram United Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Bangkok Glass Position
Home Win Rate: 83%
Away Win Rate: 47%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.