AI Match Insights

Thai League 1 Sep 28, 2025

Nakhon Ratchasima

Home
VS
11:30

Muangthong United

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Nakhon Ratchasima Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Muangthong United Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.53 - 0.28
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nakhon Ratchasima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (44%) 1-0 (24%) 0-1 (12%) 1-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 95%
Nakhon Ratchasima Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Nakhon Ra… vs Pattani 0-0
Sep 20 Nakhon Ra… vs Lamphun W… 2-2
Sep 20 Nakhon Ra… vs Ratchaburi 1-3
Sep 14 Nakhon Ra… vs Ratchaburi 0-0
Sep 13 Nakhon Ra… vs Songkhla 1-0
Aug 31 Nakhon Ra… vs Nakhon Si… 1-1
Aug 30 Nakhon Ra… vs Ratchaburi 0-2
Aug 27 Nakhon Ra… vs Chainat 0-1
Aug 24 Nakhon Ra… vs Sisaket U… 2-1
Aug 22 Nakhon Ra… vs Rayong FC 1-2
Muangthong United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Muangthon… vs Ratchaburi 1-3
Sep 14 Muangthon… vs Rayong FC 2-0
Aug 31 Muangthon… vs Ratchaburi 2-0
Aug 23 Muangthon… vs Ayutthaya… 2-2
Aug 16 Muangthon… vs Sukhothai… 1-0
May 24 Muangthon… vs Buriram U… 2-3
May 10 Muangthon… vs Ratchaburi 3-2
Apr 27 Muangthon… vs Nakhon Ra… 2-0
Mar 01 Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… 2-0
Feb 23 Muangthon… vs Buriram U… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2025 Muangthong United 2 - 0 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Aug 11, 2024 Nakhon Ratchasima 2 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Jan 28, 2023 Muangthong United 3 - 0 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Aug 28, 2022 Nakhon Ratchasima 1 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
May 01, 2022 Nakhon Ratchasima 2 - 0 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Nov 27, 2021 Muangthong United 4 - 1 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Mar 09, 2021 Nakhon Ratchasima 4 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Nov 22, 2020 Muangthong United 1 - 1 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nakhon Ratchasima Power 0
Muangthong United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Nakhon Ratchasima Position

-1

Position Gap

14

Muangthong United Position

Home Win Rate: 12%
Away Win Rate: 16%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.