AI Match Insights

Thai League 1 Sep 27, 2025

Ratchaburi

Home
VS
12:30

Lamphun Warrior

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Ratchaburi Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Lamphun Warrior Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.27 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ratchaburi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Lamphun Warrior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Ratchaburi Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Ratchaburi vs Muangthon… 1-3
Sep 20 Ratchaburi vs Prachuap 2-0
Sep 20 Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Ra… 1-3
Sep 17 Ratchaburi vs Nam Định 3-1
Sep 14 Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Ra… 0-0
Sep 14 Ratchaburi vs Rasi Sala… 3-0
Sep 13 Ratchaburi vs Port FC 1-0
Aug 31 Ratchaburi vs Muangthon… 2-0
Aug 30 Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Ra… 0-2
Aug 30 Ratchaburi vs Nong Bua … 1-0
Lamphun Warrior Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Lamphun W… vs Nakhon Ra… 2-2
Sep 13 Lamphun W… vs Sukhothai… 1-2
Aug 30 Lamphun W… vs Chonburi … 2-2
Aug 23 Lamphun W… vs Bangkok G… 2-1
Aug 16 Lamphun W… vs Buriram U… 2-3
Apr 19 Lamphun W… vs Nakhon Ra… 1-1
Apr 05 Lamphun W… vs Prachuap 2-1
Mar 14 Lamphun W… vs Bangkok G… 1-0
Feb 23 Lamphun W… vs Chiangrai… 1-0
Feb 17 Lamphun W… vs Rayong FC 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ratchaburi struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ratchaburi to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ratchaburi Power 0
Lamphun Warrior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Ratchaburi Position

+11

Position Gap

13

Lamphun Warrior Position

Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.