AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Thai League 1 Sep 26, 2025

Sukhothai FC

Home
VS
12:00

Chiangrai United

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Sukhothai FC Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Chiangrai United Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 2.53 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.9
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sukhothai FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Chiangrai United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Sukhothai FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Sukhothai… vs Uthai Tha… 1-1
Sep 13 Sukhothai… vs Lamphun W… 1-2
Aug 31 Sukhothai… vs Prachuap 0-0
Aug 24 Sukhothai… vs Port FC 1-0
Aug 16 Sukhothai… vs Muangthon… 1-0
Apr 19 Sukhothai… vs Chiangrai… 3-3
Apr 06 Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… 1-2
Mar 15 Sukhothai… vs Ratchaburi 2-1
Feb 21 Sukhothai… vs Nakhon Ra… 2-2
Feb 09 Sukhothai… vs Lamphun W… 1-0
Chiangrai United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Chiangrai… vs Bangkok G… 1-0
Sep 21 Chiangrai… vs Police Te… 0-1
Sep 14 Chiangrai… vs Ayutthaya… 1-1
Sep 13 Chiangrai… vs Sisaket U… 0-2
Aug 31 Chiangrai… vs Buriram U… 1-2
Aug 30 Chiangrai… vs Phrae Uni… 3-1
Aug 27 Chiangrai… vs Songkhla 2-1
Aug 23 Chiangrai… vs Mahasarak… 2-1
Aug 23 Chiangrai… vs Prachuap 2-1
Aug 17 Chiangrai… vs Kasetsart… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 19, 2025 Sukhothai FC 3 - 3 Chiangrai United Thai League 1
Nov 30, 2024 Chiangrai United 0 - 0 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Mar 02, 2024 Sukhothai FC 2 - 1 Chiangrai United Thai League 1
Oct 02, 2023 Chiangrai United 2 - 1 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Feb 25, 2023 Sukhothai FC 3 - 0 Chiangrai United Thai League 1
Oct 01, 2022 Chiangrai United 1 - 1 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Mar 16, 2021 Chiangrai United 3 - 1 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Dec 30, 2020 Chiangrai United 1 - 0 Sukhothai FC FA Cup
Nov 10, 2020 Sukhothai FC 2 - 0 Chiangrai United Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sukhothai FC Power 0
Chiangrai United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Sukhothai FC Position

-1

Position Gap

11

Chiangrai United Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.