AI Match Insights

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Thai League 1 Sep 20, 2025

Uthai Thani

Home
VS
11:30

Sukhothai FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Uthai Thani Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Sukhothai FC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.90 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Uthai Thani Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Sukhothai FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Uthai Thani Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 12 Uthai Tha… vs Bangkok G… 0-1
Aug 29 Uthai Tha… vs Ayutthaya… 1-4
Aug 24 Uthai Tha… vs Buriram U… 5-1
Aug 17 Uthai Tha… vs Chiangrai… 1-1
Apr 05 Uthai Tha… vs Port FC 1-1
Mar 29 Uthai Tha… vs Bangkok G… 1-1
Mar 09 Uthai Tha… vs Prachuap 3-1
Mar 01 Uthai Tha… vs Buriram U… 0-0
Jan 26 Uthai Tha… vs Sukhothai… 3-0
Jan 19 Uthai Tha… vs Nakhon Ra… 3-2
Sukhothai FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Sukhothai… vs Lamphun W… 1-2
Aug 31 Sukhothai… vs Prachuap 0-0
Aug 24 Sukhothai… vs Port FC 1-0
Aug 16 Sukhothai… vs Muangthon… 1-0
Apr 06 Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… 1-2
Mar 15 Sukhothai… vs Ratchaburi 2-1
Feb 21 Sukhothai… vs Nakhon Ra… 2-2
Feb 09 Sukhothai… vs Lamphun W… 1-0
Jan 26 Sukhothai… vs Uthai Tha… 3-0
Jan 20 Sukhothai… vs Port FC 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Uthai Thani struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Sukhothai FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 26, 2025 Uthai Thani 3 - 0 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Nov 27, 2024 Uthai Thani 0 - 1 Sukhothai FC FA Cup
Aug 31, 2024 Sukhothai FC 2 - 3 Uthai Thani Thai League 1
Apr 27, 2024 Sukhothai FC 1 - 3 Uthai Thani Thai League 1
Dec 01, 2023 Uthai Thani 0 - 0 Sukhothai FC Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Uthai Thani Power 0
Sukhothai FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Uthai Thani Position

+4

Position Gap

12

Sukhothai FC Position
Home Win Rate: 26%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.