AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Nov 21, 2025

PSM Makassar

Home
VS
08:30

PSBS Biak Numfor

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
PSM Makassar Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
PSBS Biak Numfor Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.63 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PSM Makassar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
PSBS Biak Numfor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
PSM Makassar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 PSM Makas… vs Dewa Unit… 0-1
Nov 02 PSM Makas… vs Persepam … 1-1
Oct 25 PSM Makas… vs Persik Ke… 1-1
Oct 19 PSM Makas… vs Arema FC 1-2
Sep 27 PSM Makas… vs PSIM Yogy… 0-0
Sep 21 PSM Makas… vs Persija J… 2-0
Sep 11 PSM Makas… vs Persita 2-1
Aug 22 PSM Makas… vs Semen Pad… 1-1
Aug 16 PSM Makas… vs Bhayangka… 1-1
Aug 08 PSM Makas… vs Persijap 1-1
PSBS Biak Numfor Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 06 PSBS Biak… vs Persita 2-1
Oct 31 PSBS Biak… vs Persija J… 3-1
Oct 24 PSBS Biak… vs Persebaya… 0-0
Oct 17 PSBS Biak… vs Persib Ba… 0-3
Sep 25 PSBS Biak… vs Persepam … 0-0
Sep 20 PSBS Biak… vs Dewa Unit… 3-1
Sep 11 PSBS Biak… vs Semen Pad… 1-2
Aug 29 PSBS Biak… vs Persik Ke… 1-2
Aug 23 PSBS Biak… vs Persis So… 2-2
Aug 18 PSBS Biak… vs Pusamania… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 18, 2025 PSM Makassar 1 - 1 PSBS Biak Numfor Liga 1
Aug 16, 2024 PSBS Biak Numfor 1 - 2 PSM Makassar Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PSM Makassar Power 0
PSBS Biak Numfor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

PSM Makassar Position

+2

Position Gap

15

PSBS Biak Numfor Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.