AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Sep 12, 2025

Henan FC

Home
VS
11:35

Beijing Guoan

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Henan FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Beijing Guoan Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.94
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
Henan FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Beijing Guoan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Henan FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 Henan FC vs Qingdao J… 1-1
Aug 24 Henan FC vs Dalian Zh… 4-0
Aug 19 Henan FC vs Chengdu R… 0-0
Aug 15 Henan FC vs SHANGHAI … 4-1
Aug 08 Henan FC vs Sichuan J… 4-1
Aug 02 Henan FC vs Qingdao Y… 2-1
Jul 27 Henan FC vs Shanghai … 3-2
Jul 23 Henan FC vs Shanghai … 3-3
Jul 19 Henan FC vs Meizhou K… 1-1
Jun 30 Henan FC vs Shandong … 2-2
Beijing Guoan Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Beijing G… vs Shandong … 6-0
Aug 25 Beijing G… vs Wuhan Thr… 4-0
Aug 20 Beijing G… vs Yunnan Yu… 7-0
Aug 16 Beijing G… vs Qingdao Y… 1-3
Aug 10 Beijing G… vs Zhejiang … 3-4
Aug 03 Beijing G… vs Tianjin T… 2-2
Jul 26 Beijing G… vs Chengdu R… 2-0
Jul 22 Beijing G… vs Qingdao Y… 2-2
Jul 19 Beijing G… vs Shanghai … 1-3
Jun 30 Beijing G… vs Yunnan Yu… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Beijing Guoan in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 25, 2025 Beijing Guoan 1 - 0 Henan FC Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Henan FC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Henan FC Power 0
Beijing Guoan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.