AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Esiliiga A Nov 09, 2025

Nõmme United

Home
VS
14:00

Elva

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Nõmme United Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Elva Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 3%
xG: 4.45 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Nõmme United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Elva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Nõmme United Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 06 Nõmme Uni… vs Flora II 1-5
Nov 03 Nõmme Uni… vs FCI Levad… 3-2
Oct 26 Nõmme Uni… vs Tallinna … 8-0
Oct 23 Nõmme Uni… vs FC Tallinn 1-4
Oct 19 Nõmme Uni… vs Luunja 6-0
Sep 27 Nõmme Uni… vs Viimsi 1-0
Sep 22 Nõmme Uni… vs Nõmme Kal… 0-4
Sep 18 Nõmme Uni… vs Tartu Wel… 5-2
Sep 13 Nõmme Uni… vs Elva 1-4
Aug 31 Nõmme Uni… vs FC Tallinn 6-0
Elva Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Elva vs Flora II 2-0
Oct 27 Elva vs Tartu Wel… 3-2
Oct 23 Elva vs FCI Levad… 2-1
Oct 19 Elva vs FC Tallinn 1-0
Oct 04 Elva vs Nõmme Kal… 0-1
Sep 27 Elva vs Tallinna … 0-3
Sep 22 Elva vs Viimsi 1-1
Sep 18 Elva vs Luunja 1-2
Sep 13 Elva vs Nõmme Uni… 1-4
Aug 30 Elva vs Nõmme Kal… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nõmme United in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Elva struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 13, 2025 Elva 1 - 4 Nõmme United Esiliiga A
Jun 28, 2025 Nõmme United 4 - 1 Elva Esiliiga A
Apr 17, 2025 Elva 0 - 2 Nõmme United Esiliiga A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nõmme United to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nõmme United Power 0
Elva Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.