AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
K League 2 Jul 20, 2025

Cheongju

Home
VS
10:00

Incheon United

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Cheongju Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Incheon United Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.27 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.1
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cheongju Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Incheon United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Cheongju Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 19 Cheongju vs Busan Tra… 2-1
Jul 13 Cheongju vs Daejeon K… 2-1
Jul 12 Cheongju vs Suwon Blu… 1-0
Jul 05 Cheongju vs Seoul E-L… 2-1
Jun 29 Cheongju vs Jeonnam D… 2-2
Jun 28 Cheongju vs Siheung C… 3-4
Jun 26 Cheongju vs Suwon FC … 2-5
Jun 23 Cheongju vs Changnyeo… 3-0
Jun 22 Cheongju vs Busan I P… 2-2
Jun 22 Cheongju vs Yeoju Sej… 1-0
Incheon United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 19 Incheon U… vs Changnyeo… 2-1
Jul 13 Incheon U… vs Asan Mugu… 2-1
Jul 12 Incheon U… vs Hwaseong 2-3
Jul 12 Incheon U… vs Incheon U… 0-1
Jul 06 Incheon U… vs Seongnam … 0-0
Jul 06 Incheon U… vs Siheung C… 0-4
Jul 05 Incheon U… vs Jeonnam D… 2-1
Jul 05 Incheon U… vs Siheung C… 1-2
Jun 29 Incheon U… vs Gimpo Cit… 1-1
Jun 29 Incheon U… vs Changnyeo… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Incheon United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 24, 2025 Incheon United 1 - 0 Cheongju K3 League
May 17, 2025 Cheongju 0 - 4 Incheon United K3 League
Apr 26, 2025 Incheon United 0 - 1 Cheongju K League 2
Apr 13, 2025 Incheon United 2 - 1 Cheongju K League 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cheongju to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cheongju Power 0
Incheon United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.