AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
K3 League May 03, 2025

Gimhae City

Home
VS
05:00

Incheon United

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Gimhae City Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Incheon United Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.28 - 1.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 1.6
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gimhae City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Incheon United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Gimhae City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Gimhae Ci… vs Siheung C… 1-2
Apr 19 Gimhae Ci… vs Changnyeo… 1-1
Apr 16 Gimhae Ci… vs Daegu FC 2-0
Apr 05 Gimhae Ci… vs Cheongju 1-3
Mar 29 Gimhae Ci… vs Daejeon K… 3-0
Mar 23 Gimhae Ci… vs Gimpo Cit… 5-1
Mar 15 Gimhae Ci… vs Siheung C… 0-1
Mar 02 Gimhae Ci… vs Jeonbuk M… 1-2
Nov 02 Gimhae Ci… vs Changnyeo… 3-0
Oct 26 Gimhae Ci… vs Cheongju 2-1
Incheon United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Incheon U… vs Busan Tra… 2-1
Apr 26 Incheon U… vs Daejeon K… 0-1
Apr 26 Incheon U… vs Bucheon F… 1-3
Apr 26 Incheon U… vs Cheongju 0-1
Apr 20 Incheon U… vs Siheung C… 1-3
Apr 19 Incheon U… vs Incheon U… 3-0
Apr 16 Incheon U… vs Gimpo Cit… 2-1
Apr 13 Incheon U… vs Ansan Gre… 0-1
Apr 13 Incheon U… vs Cheongju 2-1
Apr 06 Incheon U… vs Yeoju Sej… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Incheon United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2024 Gimhae City 0 - 0 Incheon United K3 League
Apr 17, 2024 Incheon United 1 - 0 Gimhae City FA Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gimhae City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gimhae City Power 0
Incheon United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.