AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Australian Championship Nov 15, 2025

Avondale

Home
VS
02:00

Preston Lions

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Avondale Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Preston Lions Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 4.06 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.7
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Avondale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Preston Lions Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Avondale Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Avondale vs NWS Spirit 1-0
Nov 01 Avondale vs Canberra … 1-4
Oct 24 Avondale vs Preston L… 0-0
Oct 19 Avondale vs NWS Spirit 3-3
Oct 12 Avondale vs Canberra … 3-1
Jun 22 Avondale vs Preston L… 1-1
Mar 15 Avondale vs Preston L… 3-1
Preston Lions Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Preston L… vs Canberra … 0-0
Nov 02 Preston L… vs NWS Spirit 1-3
Oct 24 Preston L… vs Avondale 0-0
Oct 19 Preston L… vs Canberra … 3-2
Oct 11 Preston L… vs NWS Spirit 1-1
Sep 25 Preston L… vs Pelister 1-0
Sep 23 Preston L… vs Vardar Sk… 2-4
Jun 22 Preston L… vs Avondale 1-1
Mar 15 Preston L… vs Avondale 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Avondale in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 24, 2025 Preston Lions 0 - 0 Avondale Australian Cha…
Jun 22, 2025 Preston Lions 1 - 1 Avondale Victoria NPL
Mar 15, 2025 Avondale 3 - 1 Preston Lions Victoria NPL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Avondale to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Avondale Power 0
Preston Lions Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.