AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Australian Championship Nov 07, 2025

Sydney

Home
VS
08:35

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Sydney Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.10 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sydney Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Sydney Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Sydney vs Bayswater… 3-2
Nov 01 Sydney vs Newcastle… 1-4
Oct 25 Sydney vs Central C… 2-0
Oct 25 Sydney vs MetroStars 1-2
Oct 17 Sydney vs APIA Leic… 4-0
Oct 17 Sydney vs Adelaide … 2-1
Oct 12 Sydney vs Bayswater… 1-1
Aug 23 Sydney vs Auckland 1-1
Jul 20 Sydney vs APIA Leic… 2-2
May 03 Sydney vs Melbourne… 5-1
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 APIA Leic… vs MetroStars 1-1
Oct 26 APIA Leic… vs Bayswater… 1-0
Oct 17 APIA Leic… vs Sydney 4-0
Oct 11 APIA Leic… vs MetroStars 0-1
Jul 20 APIA Leic… vs Sydney 2-2
Apr 06 APIA Leic… vs Sydney 2-1
Aug 28 APIA Leic… vs Sydney 1-2
Aug 25 APIA Leic… vs NWS Spirit 1-0
Aug 17 APIA Leic… vs Hills Bru… 4-1
Aug 11 APIA Leic… vs Sydney II 1-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sydney struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 17, 2025 APIA Leichhardt Tig… 4 - 0 Sydney Australian Cha…
Jul 20, 2025 APIA Leichhardt Tig… 2 - 2 Sydney New South Wale…
Apr 06, 2025 Sydney 2 - 1 APIA Leichhardt Tig… New South Wale…
Aug 28, 2024 APIA Leichhardt Tig… 1 - 2 Sydney New South Wale…
Jul 21, 2024 Sydney 2 - 0 APIA Leichhardt Tig… New South Wale…
Apr 14, 2024 APIA Leichhardt Tig… 1 - 5 Sydney New South Wale…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sydney to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sydney Power 0
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.