AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Nov 23, 2025

LD Alajuelense

Home
VS
22:00

Sporting San Jose

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
LD Alajuelense Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Sporting San Jose Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.92 - 1.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
LD Alajuelense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Sporting San Jose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
LD Alajuelense Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 21 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Nov 03 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 1-4
Oct 31 LD Alajue… vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Oct 26 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 3-2
Oct 24 LD Alajue… vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Oct 20 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Oct 17 LD Alajue… vs CS Heredi… 1-3
Oct 01 LD Alajue… vs CD Motagua 1-2
Sep 27 LD Alajue… vs Puntarena… 2-2
Sep 24 LD Alajue… vs CD Motagua 0-1
Sporting San Jose Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Sporting … vs CS Heredi… 0-1
Oct 26 Sporting … vs Municipal… 3-0
Oct 21 Sporting … vs Guadalupe… 2-2
Oct 19 Sporting … vs Houston D… 0-0
Oct 15 Sporting … vs Perez Zel… 0-0
Oct 05 Sporting … vs Minnesota… 3-0
Oct 01 Sporting … vs Guadalupe… 1-3
Sep 29 Sporting … vs Inter San… 0-3
Sep 28 Sporting … vs Los Angel… 4-1
Sep 24 Sporting … vs Guadalupe… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 28, 2025 LD Alajuelense 1 - 2 Sporting San Jose Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
LD Alajuelense Power 0
Sporting San Jose Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

LD Alajuelense Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Sporting San Jose Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.