AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División Oct 12, 2025

Aragua FC

Home
VS
20:00

Petare

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Aragua FC Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Petare Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 2.04 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aragua FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Petare Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Aragua FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Aragua FC vs Mineros d… 3-0
Sep 27 Aragua FC vs Monagas S… 1-0
Sep 21 Aragua FC vs Angostura… 3-0
Sep 14 Aragua FC vs Bolívar 1-0
Sep 07 Aragua FC vs Dinamo de… 1-1
Sep 03 Aragua FC vs Petare 1-0
Aug 30 Aragua FC vs Marítimo 2-1
Aug 24 Aragua FC vs Mineros d… 0-0
Aug 17 Aragua FC vs Monagas S… 3-0
Aug 09 Aragua FC vs Angostura… 0-0
Petare Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Petare vs Bolívar 3-2
Sep 27 Petare vs Mineros d… 6-1
Sep 21 Petare vs Monagas S… 2-3
Sep 14 Petare vs Angostura… 4-2
Sep 07 Petare vs Marítimo 0-0
Sep 03 Petare vs Aragua FC 1-0
Aug 30 Petare vs Dinamo de… 1-1
Aug 24 Petare vs Bolívar 0-2
Aug 16 Petare vs Mineros d… 2-2
Aug 10 Petare vs Monagas S… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Petare in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Aragua FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 03, 2025 Aragua FC 1 - 0 Petare Segunda Divisi…
Jul 20, 2025 Petare 1 - 0 Aragua FC Segunda Divisi…
May 18, 2025 Aragua FC 0 - 0 Petare Segunda Divisi…
Apr 06, 2025 Petare 2 - 2 Aragua FC Segunda Divisi…
Mar 30, 2025 Petare 1 - 1 Aragua FC Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Petare to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aragua FC Power 0
Petare Power 41
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.