AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División Sep 03, 2025

Aragua FC

Home
VS
20:00

Petare

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Aragua FC Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Petare Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.72 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aragua FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Petare Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (39%) 1-0 (28%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 93%
Aragua FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Aragua FC vs Marítimo 2-1
Aug 24 Aragua FC vs Mineros d… 0-0
Aug 17 Aragua FC vs Monagas S… 3-0
Aug 09 Aragua FC vs Angostura… 0-0
Aug 03 Aragua FC vs Bolívar 0-1
Jul 24 Aragua FC vs Dinamo de… 1-0
Jul 20 Aragua FC vs Petare 1-0
Jul 13 Aragua FC vs Marítimo 0-0
Jun 29 Aragua FC vs Mineros d… 1-0
Jun 22 Aragua FC vs Monagas S… 0-1
Petare Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Petare vs Dinamo de… 1-1
Aug 24 Petare vs Bolívar 0-2
Aug 16 Petare vs Mineros d… 2-2
Aug 10 Petare vs Monagas S… 2-1
Aug 02 Petare vs Angostura… 1-2
Jul 24 Petare vs Marítimo 0-0
Jul 20 Petare vs Aragua FC 1-0
Jul 13 Petare vs Dinamo de… 0-0
Jun 29 Petare vs Bolívar 2-0
Jun 22 Petare vs Mineros d… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Petare in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 20, 2025 Petare 1 - 0 Aragua FC Segunda Divisi…
May 18, 2025 Aragua FC 0 - 0 Petare Segunda Divisi…
Apr 06, 2025 Petare 2 - 2 Aragua FC Segunda Divisi…
Mar 30, 2025 Petare 1 - 1 Aragua FC Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Petare to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aragua FC Power 0
Petare Power 41
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.