AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Ascenso Oct 30, 2025

AD Cofutpa

Home
VS
01:00

Municipal Grecia

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
AD Cofutpa Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Municipal Grecia Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.49 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AD Cofutpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Municipal Grecia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
AD Cofutpa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 AD Cofutpa vs ADR Jicar… 2-0
Oct 09 AD Cofutpa vs Deportivo… 4-2
Oct 04 AD Cofutpa vs AD SarchĂ­ 0-0
Sep 28 AD Cofutpa vs Quepos Ca… 3-1
Sep 21 AD Cofutpa vs Inter San… 3-2
Sep 13 AD Cofutpa vs Municipal… 5-3
Sep 06 AD Cofutpa vs ADR Jicar… 2-1
Aug 30 AD Cofutpa vs Antioquia 1-1
Aug 25 AD Cofutpa vs Deportivo… 4-1
Aug 17 AD Cofutpa vs AD SarchĂ­ 2-0
Municipal Grecia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Municipal… vs ADR Jicar… 0-3
Oct 09 Municipal… vs Antioquia 2-3
Oct 05 Municipal… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Sep 28 Municipal… vs AD Sarchí 2-2
Sep 21 Municipal… vs Quepos Ca… 3-1
Sep 18 Municipal… vs Inter San… 3-1
Sep 13 Municipal… vs AD Cofutpa 5-3
Sep 03 Municipal… vs ADR Jicar… 1-0
Aug 24 Municipal… vs Antioquia 2-1
Aug 19 Municipal… vs Deportivo… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Municipal Grecia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 13, 2025 Municipal Grecia 5 - 3 AD Cofutpa Liga de Ascenso
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AD Cofutpa to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
AD Cofutpa Power 0
Municipal Grecia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

AD Cofutpa Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Municipal Grecia Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.