AI Match Insights
Liga de Ascenso Oct 26, 2025
Deportivo Upala
HomeVS
19:00
AD Sarchí
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Deportivo Upala Win
Draw
AD Sarchí Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.74 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Upala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
AD Sarchí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (14%)
0-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
Deportivo Upala Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Deportivo… vs Quepos Ca… | 3-0 |
| Oct 12 | Deportivo… vs Inter San… | 0-0 |
| Oct 09 | Deportivo… vs AD Cofutpa | 4-2 |
| Oct 05 | Deportivo… vs Municipal… | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Deportivo… vs ADR Jicar… | 1-2 |
| Sep 17 | Deportivo… vs Antioquia | 3-0 |
| Sep 13 | Deportivo… vs Quepos Ca… | 1-1 |
| Sep 09 | Deportivo… vs AD Sarchí | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Deportivo… vs Inter San… | 2-1 |
| Aug 25 | Deportivo… vs AD Cofutpa | 4-1 |
AD Sarchí Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | AD Sarchí vs Quepos Ca… | 1-3 |
| Oct 09 | AD Sarchí vs Inter San… | 2-0 |
| Oct 04 | AD Sarchí vs AD Cofutpa | 0-0 |
| Sep 28 | AD Sarchí vs Municipal… | 2-2 |
| Sep 21 | AD Sarchí vs ADR Jicar… | 3-0 |
| Sep 14 | AD Sarchí vs Antioquia | 0-0 |
| Sep 09 | AD Sarchí vs Deportivo… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | AD Sarchí vs Quepos Ca… | 1-2 |
| Aug 23 | AD Sarchí vs Inter San… | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | AD Sarchí vs AD Cofutpa | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Deportivo Upala struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- AD Sarchí struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 09, 2025 | AD Sarchí | 1 - 1 | Deportivo Upala | Liga de Ascenso |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Deportivo Upala Power
0
AD Sarchí Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
Deportivo Upala Position-1
Position Gap5
AD Sarchí Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.