AI Match Insights

Liga de Ascenso Oct 26, 2025

Deportivo Upala

Home
VS
19:00

AD Sarchí

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Deportivo Upala Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
AD Sarchí Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.74 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Upala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
AD Sarchí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Deportivo Upala Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Deportivo… vs Quepos Ca… 3-0
Oct 12 Deportivo… vs Inter San… 0-0
Oct 09 Deportivo… vs AD Cofutpa 4-2
Oct 05 Deportivo… vs Municipal… 2-1
Sep 28 Deportivo… vs ADR Jicar… 1-2
Sep 17 Deportivo… vs Antioquia 3-0
Sep 13 Deportivo… vs Quepos Ca… 1-1
Sep 09 Deportivo… vs AD Sarchí 1-1
Aug 31 Deportivo… vs Inter San… 2-1
Aug 25 Deportivo… vs AD Cofutpa 4-1
AD Sarchí Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 AD Sarchí vs Quepos Ca… 1-3
Oct 09 AD Sarchí vs Inter San… 2-0
Oct 04 AD Sarchí vs AD Cofutpa 0-0
Sep 28 AD Sarchí vs Municipal… 2-2
Sep 21 AD Sarchí vs ADR Jicar… 3-0
Sep 14 AD Sarchí vs Antioquia 0-0
Sep 09 AD Sarchí vs Deportivo… 1-1
Aug 31 AD Sarchí vs Quepos Ca… 1-2
Aug 23 AD Sarchí vs Inter San… 2-0
Aug 17 AD Sarchí vs AD Cofutpa 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Upala struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • AD Sarchí struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 09, 2025 AD Sarchí 1 - 1 Deportivo Upala Liga de Ascenso
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Upala Power 0
AD Sarchí Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Deportivo Upala Position

-1

Position Gap

5

AD Sarchí Position

Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.