AI Match Insights
Liga de Ascenso Oct 25, 2025
Escorpiones Belén
HomeVS
19:00
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Escorpiones Belén Win
Draw
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
Combined: 54%
Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.06 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.4
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Escorpiones Belén Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%)
1-0 (18%)
3-0 (13%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
Escorpiones Belén Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Escorpion… vs Cariari P… | 1-2 |
| Oct 08 | Escorpion… vs AD Carmel… | 2-2 |
| Oct 04 | Escorpion… vs Santa Ana | 1-3 |
| Sep 23 | Escorpion… vs Aserri FC | 3-1 |
| Sep 19 | Escorpion… vs Futbol Co… | 3-2 |
| Sep 13 | Escorpion… vs CS Uruguay | 5-3 |
| Sep 09 | Escorpion… vs Pitbulls … | 1-2 |
| Sep 04 | Escorpion… vs Cariari P… | 1-0 |
| Aug 22 | Escorpion… vs AD Carmel… | 0-1 |
| Aug 20 | Escorpion… vs Puntarena… | 1-1 |
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | Pitbulls … vs Aserri FC | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Pitbulls … vs AD Carmel… | 2-0 |
| Oct 12 | Pitbulls … vs Santa Ana | 0-0 |
| Sep 28 | Pitbulls … vs Futbol Co… | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Pitbulls … vs CS Uruguay | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Pitbulls … vs Cariari P… | 0-0 |
| Sep 09 | Pitbulls … vs Escorpion… | 1-2 |
| Sep 04 | Pitbulls … vs AD Carmel… | 2-1 |
| Sep 02 | Pitbulls … vs Santa Ana | 0-0 |
| Aug 19 | Pitbulls … vs Aserri FC | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Escorpiones Belén in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 09, 2025 | Pitbulls Santa Barb… | 1 - 2 | Escorpiones Belén | Liga de Ascenso |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Escorpiones Belén to win (61% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Escorpiones Belén Power
0
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Escorpiones Belén Position+6
Position Gap7
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.