AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Aug 03, 2025

Legia Warszawa

Home
VS
18:15

Arka Gdynia

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Legia Warszawa Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Arka Gdynia Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.36 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Legia Warszawa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Arka Gdynia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Legia Warszawa Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 31 Legia War… vs Baník Ost… 2-1
Jul 27 Legia War… vs Korona Ki… 0-2
Jul 24 Legia War… vs Baník Ost… 2-2
Jul 17 Legia War… vs Aktobe 0-1
Jul 10 Legia War… vs Aktobe 1-0
May 29 Legia War… vs Wisla Plo… 2-1
May 25 Legia War… vs Ruch Chor… 1-1
May 24 Legia War… vs Stal Miel… 2-2
May 18 Legia War… vs Cracovia … 3-1
May 17 Legia War… vs ŁKS Łódź 0-1
Arka Gdynia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 25 Arka Gdyn… vs Radomiak … 1-1
Jul 20 Arka Gdyn… vs Motor Lub… 1-0
May 25 Arka Gdyn… vs Stal Stal… 0-3
May 18 Arka Gdyn… vs Tychy 71 2-2
May 12 Arka Gdyn… vs Wisla Plo… 1-0
May 04 Arka Gdyn… vs Nieciecza 2-1
Apr 26 Arka Gdyn… vs Pogoń Sie… 1-1
Oct 30 Arka Gdyn… vs Piast Gli… 1-3
Oct 26 Arka Gdyn… vs Nieciecza 2-1
Sep 25 Arka Gdyn… vs Stal Stal… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Legia Warszawa in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 10, 2020 Legia Warszawa 5 - 1 Arka Gdynia Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Legia Warszawa Power 0
Arka Gdynia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Legia Warszawa Position

-2

Position Gap

15

Arka Gdynia Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.