AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Dec 14, 2025

Motor Lublin

Home
VS
16:30

Jagiellonia

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Motor Lublin Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Jagiellonia Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.52 - 1.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.3
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Motor Lublin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Jagiellonia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Motor Lublin Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Motor Lub… vs Arka Gdyn… 1-0
Dec 01 Motor Lub… vs Legia War… 1-1
Nov 22 Motor Lub… vs Cracovia … 1-2
Nov 08 Motor Lub… vs Wisla Plo… 1-1
Nov 02 Motor Lub… vs Lech Pozn… 2-2
Oct 24 Motor Lub… vs Widzew Łó… 3-0
Oct 17 Motor Lub… vs GKS Katow… 2-5
Oct 05 Motor Lub… vs Raków Czę… 2-0
Sep 29 Motor Lub… vs Radomiak … 2-2
Sep 25 Motor Lub… vs Arka Gdyn… 1-0
Jagiellonia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 Jagiellon… vs Rayo Vall… 1-2
Dec 07 Jagiellon… vs Nieciecza 2-1
Dec 04 Jagiellon… vs GKS Katow… 3-1
Nov 30 Jagiellon… vs Zaglebie … 0-0
Nov 27 Jagiellon… vs KuPS 1-0
Nov 14 Jagiellon… vs Pogoń Gro… 5-1
Nov 09 Jagiellon… vs Pogoń Szc… 1-2
Nov 06 Jagiellon… vs Shkëndija… 1-1
Nov 02 Jagiellon… vs Raków Czę… 1-2
Oct 30 Jagiellon… vs Miedź Leg… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jagiellonia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 16, 2025 Jagiellonia 3 - 0 Motor Lublin Ekstraklasa
Sep 25, 2024 Motor Lublin 0 - 2 Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa
Jan 17, 2024 Jagiellonia 0 - 0 Motor Lublin Friendlies Clu…
Jul 04, 2023 Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Jagiellonia Friendlies Clu…
Jan 21, 2023 Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Jagiellonia Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Motor Lublin Power 0
Jagiellonia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Motor Lublin Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Jagiellonia Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.