AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Aug 02, 2025

Lech Poznan

Home
VS
18:15

Gornik Zabrze

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Lech Poznan Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Gornik Zabrze Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 3.55 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Lech Poznan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Gornik Zabrze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Lech Poznan Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 30 Lech Pozn… vs Breidablik 0-1
Jul 26 Lech Pozn… vs Lechia Gd… 3-4
Jul 22 Lech Pozn… vs Breidablik 7-1
Jul 18 Lech Pozn… vs Cracovia … 1-4
May 24 Lech Pozn… vs Piast Gli… 1-0
May 18 Lech Pozn… vs GKS Katow… 2-2
May 11 Lech Pozn… vs Legia War… 0-1
May 03 Lech Pozn… vs Puszcza N… 8-1
Apr 27 Lech Pozn… vs Radomiak … 2-2
Apr 21 Lech Pozn… vs Cracovia … 2-1
Gornik Zabrze Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 26 Gornik Za… vs Piast Gli… 0-1
Jul 20 Gornik Za… vs Lechia Gd… 2-1
May 24 Gornik Za… vs Korona Ki… 1-1
May 17 Gornik Za… vs Piast Gli… 2-0
May 09 Gornik Za… vs Śląsk Wro… 2-0
May 04 Gornik Za… vs Jagiellon… 1-1
Apr 27 Gornik Za… vs Widzew Łó… 0-0
Apr 22 Gornik Za… vs Stal Miel… 0-0
Apr 11 Gornik Za… vs Zaglebie … 2-1
Mar 09 Gornik Za… vs Lechia Gd… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lech Poznan in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Gornik Zabrze in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2024 Gornik Zabrze 2 - 1 Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa
Jul 21, 2024 Lech Poznan 2 - 0 Gornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa
Mar 09, 2024 Gornik Zabrze 0 - 0 Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa
Sep 02, 2023 Lech Poznan 1 - 1 Gornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa
Apr 30, 2023 Lech Poznan 0 - 1 Gornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa
Oct 16, 2022 Gornik Zabrze 1 - 2 Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa
Mar 02, 2022 Gornik Zabrze 0 - 2 Lech Poznan Cup
Dec 19, 2021 Lech Poznan 2 - 1 Gornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa
Jul 30, 2021 Gornik Zabrze 1 - 3 Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lech Poznan Power 0
Gornik Zabrze Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Lech Poznan Position

-7

Position Gap

2

Gornik Zabrze Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.