AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Aug 01, 2025

Zaglebie Lubin

Home
VS
16:00

Korona Kielce

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Zaglebie Lubin Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Korona Kielce Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.18 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zaglebie Lubin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Korona Kielce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Zaglebie Lubin Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 Zaglebie … vs GKS Katow… 2-2
Jul 19 Zaglebie … vs Widzew Łó… 1-0
May 24 Zaglebie … vs Cracovia … 1-2
May 18 Zaglebie … vs Motor Lub… 1-0
May 10 Zaglebie … vs Widzew Łó… 2-1
May 03 Zaglebie … vs Śląsk Wro… 3-1
Apr 28 Zaglebie … vs Stal Miel… 2-2
Apr 21 Zaglebie … vs Jagiellon… 1-3
Apr 11 Zaglebie … vs Gornik Za… 2-1
Mar 31 Zaglebie … vs Raków Czę… 0-2
Korona Kielce Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 27 Korona Ki… vs Legia War… 0-2
Jul 19 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 2-0
May 24 Korona Ki… vs Gornik Za… 1-1
May 17 Korona Ki… vs Raków Czę… 1-1
May 11 Korona Ki… vs Lechia Gd… 3-2
May 05 Korona Ki… vs GKS Katow… 2-1
Apr 27 Korona Ki… vs Jagiellon… 3-1
Mar 16 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 1-1
Feb 25 Korona Ki… vs Ruch Chor… 2-0
Feb 14 Korona Ki… vs Cracovia … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zaglebie Lubin struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Korona Kielce struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2025 Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Sep 15, 2024 Korona Kielce 2 - 0 Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa
Mar 03, 2024 Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 0 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Aug 27, 2023 Korona Kielce 2 - 0 Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa
Apr 23, 2023 Korona Kielce 2 - 2 Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa
Oct 09, 2022 Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Jun 26, 2020 Zaglebie Lubin 2 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Jun 09, 2020 Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 1 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zaglebie Lubin Power 0
Korona Kielce Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Zaglebie Lubin Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Korona Kielce Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.