AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A Lyga Apr 27, 2025

Sūduva Marijampolė

Home
VS
15:25

Hegelmann Litauen

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Sūduva Marijampolė Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Hegelmann Litauen Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.45 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sūduva Marijampolė Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Hegelmann Litauen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (19%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Sūduva Marijampolė Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Sūduva Ma… vs Šiauliai 1-1
Apr 16 Sūduva Ma… vs FK Zalgir… 3-0
Apr 12 Sūduva Ma… vs Kauno Žal… 0-0
Apr 04 Sūduva Ma… vs Dainava 1-0
Mar 28 Sūduva Ma… vs Džiugas T… 1-0
Mar 16 Sūduva Ma… vs Panevėžys 2-0
Mar 09 Sūduva Ma… vs Banga 1-0
Mar 01 Sūduva Ma… vs FK Trakai 3-4
Hegelmann Litauen Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Hegelmann… vs FK Zalgir… 2-1
Apr 16 Hegelmann… vs Kauno Žal… 3-1
Apr 12 Hegelmann… vs Dainava 3-2
Apr 06 Hegelmann… vs Džiugas T… 0-2
Mar 29 Hegelmann… vs FK Trakai 2-1
Mar 15 Hegelmann… vs Šiauliai 1-0
Mar 09 Hegelmann… vs Panevėžys 2-1
Mar 01 Hegelmann… vs Banga 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hegelmann Litauen in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sūduva Marijampolė to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sūduva Marijampolė Power 0
Hegelmann Litauen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.