AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Nov 03, 2025

FK Kukesi

Home
VS
13:00

Kastrioti Krujë

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
FK Kukesi Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Kastrioti Krujë Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 3.29 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 1.1
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FK Kukesi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Kastrioti Krujë Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
FK Kukesi Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 FK Kukesi vs Besa Kava… 3-1
Oct 25 FK Kukesi vs Luftëtari 2-2
Oct 19 FK Kukesi vs Laci 0-3
Oct 04 FK Kukesi vs Skenderbe… 3-0
Sep 27 FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci 1-3
Sep 20 FK Kukesi vs Iliria Fu… 1-0
Sep 12 FK Kukesi vs Lushnja 1-1
Aug 30 FK Kukesi vs Burreli 2-0
Aug 23 FK Kukesi vs Apolonia … 2-1
Apr 20 FK Kukesi vs Burreli 1-2
Kastrioti Krujë Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 Kastrioti… vs Skenderbe… 3-2
Oct 25 Kastrioti… vs Pogradeci 4-0
Oct 19 Kastrioti… vs Iliria Fu… 1-1
Oct 04 Kastrioti… vs Lushnja 3-2
Sep 27 Kastrioti… vs Burreli 1-1
Sep 20 Kastrioti… vs Apolonia … 2-0
Sep 13 Kastrioti… vs Korabi Pe… 0-0
Aug 30 Kastrioti… vs Laci 3-1
Aug 23 Kastrioti… vs Besa Kava… 1-1
Apr 13 Kastrioti… vs Apolonia … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FK Kukesi struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 30, 2025 Kastrioti Krujë 2 - 0 FK Kukesi 1st Division
Jan 19, 2025 Kastrioti Krujë 1 - 0 FK Kukesi 1st Division
Oct 20, 2024 FK Kukesi 0 - 1 Kastrioti Krujë 1st Division
Apr 23, 2023 Kastrioti Krujë 1 - 0 FK Kukesi Superliga
Feb 11, 2023 FK Kukesi 1 - 0 Kastrioti Krujë Superliga
Nov 13, 2022 Kastrioti Krujë 1 - 1 FK Kukesi Superliga
Sep 03, 2022 FK Kukesi 1 - 2 Kastrioti Krujë Superliga
Apr 16, 2022 Kastrioti Krujë 1 - 0 FK Kukesi Superliga
Feb 13, 2022 FK Kukesi 4 - 0 Kastrioti Krujë Superliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FK Kukesi Power 0
Kastrioti Krujë Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

FK Kukesi Position

-8

Position Gap

4

Kastrioti Krujë Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.