AI Match Insights

1st Division Oct 28, 2025

Apolonia Fier

Home
VS
13:00

Iliria Fushë-Krujë

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Apolonia Fier Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Iliria Fushë-Krujë Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.45 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Apolonia Fier Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Iliria Fushë-Krujë Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Apolonia Fier Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Apolonia … vs Lushnja 0-1
Oct 19 Apolonia … vs Burreli 1-2
Oct 03 Apolonia … vs Laci 1-1
Sep 27 Apolonia … vs Korabi Pe… 0-0
Sep 20 Apolonia … vs Kastrioti… 2-0
Sep 13 Apolonia … vs Besa Kava… 1-2
Aug 30 Apolonia … vs Luftëtari 1-1
Aug 23 Apolonia … vs FK Kukesi 2-1
Apr 24 Apolonia … vs Besa Kava… 1-1
Apr 20 Apolonia … vs Lushnja 0-0
Iliria Fushë-Krujë Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Iliria Fu… vs Korabi Pe… 2-1
Oct 19 Iliria Fu… vs Kastrioti… 1-1
Oct 04 Iliria Fu… vs Besa Kava… 2-1
Sep 27 Iliria Fu… vs Luftëtari 1-2
Sep 20 Iliria Fu… vs FK Kukesi 1-0
Sep 12 Iliria Fu… vs Skenderbe… 2-0
Aug 30 Iliria Fu… vs Pogradeci 0-0
Aug 23 Iliria Fu… vs Laci 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Iliria Fushë-Krujë in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Apolonia Fier Power 0
Iliria Fushë-Krujë Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Apolonia Fier Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Iliria Fushë-Krujë Position

Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.