AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Nov 19, 2025

Etoile de Kivu

Home
VS
13:00

Bukavu Dawa

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Etoile de Kivu Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Bukavu Dawa Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.41 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Etoile de Kivu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Bukavu Dawa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Etoile de Kivu Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Etoile de… vs Rangers FC 1-1
Nov 12 Etoile de… vs Dauphins … 0-3
Nov 07 Etoile de… vs Renaissan… 0-1
Nov 04 Etoile de… vs Céleste 0-0
Oct 31 Etoile de… vs Motema Pe… 4-2
Oct 26 Etoile de… vs Anges Ver… 3-2
Oct 23 Etoile de… vs Vita Club 3-0
Mar 14 Etoile de… vs Rangers FC 1-0
Dec 28 Etoile de… vs Motema Pe… 1-0
Dec 11 Etoile de… vs Renaissan… 1-1
Bukavu Dawa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Bukavu Da… vs Vita Club 0-2
Nov 13 Bukavu Da… vs New Jack 2-1
Nov 08 Bukavu Da… vs Maniema U… 0-0
Nov 05 Bukavu Da… vs Dauphins … 2-1
Nov 02 Bukavu Da… vs Renaissan… 0-1
Oct 30 Bukavu Da… vs Céleste 5-0
Oct 26 Bukavu Da… vs Motema Pe… 0-3
Oct 22 Bukavu Da… vs Anges Ver… 3-0
Dec 12 Bukavu Da… vs Anges Ver… 4-3
Dec 04 Bukavu Da… vs JSK 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bukavu Dawa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2024 Etoile de Kivu 0 - 1 Bukavu Dawa Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Etoile de Kivu Power 0
Bukavu Dawa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Etoile de Kivu Position

+1

Position Gap

14

Bukavu Dawa Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.