AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Portugal 2 Jan 06, 2024

Moreirense

Home
VS
11:00

MarĂ­timo

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Moreirense Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
MarĂ­timo Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.92 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.6
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
MarĂ­timo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Moreirense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 30 Moreirense vs União de … 1-1
Dec 23 Moreirense vs Vizela 0-0
Dec 17 Moreirense vs MarĂ­timo 0-1
Dec 17 Moreirense vs Portimone… 5-2
Dec 17 Moreirense vs Portimone… 5-2
Dec 16 Moreirense vs Académico… 0-0
Dec 11 Moreirense vs GIL Vicen… 1-1
Dec 11 Moreirense vs GIL Vicen… 1-1
Dec 03 Moreirense vs Benfica 0-0
Dec 03 Moreirense vs Benfica 0-0
MarĂ­timo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 MarĂ­timo vs Moreirense 0-1
Nov 19 MarĂ­timo vs Moreirense 1-2
Nov 12 Marítimo vs Leixões SC 0-1
Aug 27 MarĂ­timo vs Benfica 0-1
Feb 05 MarĂ­timo vs Chaves 2-1
Dec 07 MarĂ­timo vs Farense 2-0
Aug 15 MarĂ­timo vs Chaves 1-2
Apr 10 MarĂ­timo vs Farense 1-0
Dec 07 MarĂ­timo vs Farense 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • MarĂ­timo in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 17, 2023 Moreirense 0 - 1 MarĂ­timo Liga Portugal 2
Nov 19, 2023 MarĂ­timo 1 - 2 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moreirense Power 0
MarĂ­timo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.