AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
USL Championship Apr 13, 2025

Orange County SC

Home
VS
02:00

Sacramento Republic

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Orange County SC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Sacramento Republic Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 39%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 0.83 - 1.59
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Orange County SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Sacramento Republic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Orange County SC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Orange Co… vs Colorado … 2-1
Nov 02 Orange Co… vs Memphis 9… 0-1
Oct 27 Orange Co… vs Alloa Ath… 3-2
Oct 20 Orange Co… vs New Mexic… 0-0
Oct 17 Orange Co… vs El Paso L… 0-2
Jul 04 Orange Co… vs New Mexic… 2-0
May 08 Orange Co… vs Loudoun U… 1-2
Apr 21 Orange Co… vs Sacrament… 0-2
Mar 10 Orange Co… vs Sacrament… 2-2
Sacramento Republic Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Sacrament… vs Las Vegas… 0-0
Oct 27 Sacrament… vs Colorado … 0-1
Oct 20 Sacrament… vs El Paso L… 2-1
Oct 13 Sacrament… vs Memphis 9… 0-0
Jul 21 Sacrament… vs Oakland R… 2-5
Jul 10 Sacrament… vs Seattle S… 1-2
Jun 16 Sacrament… vs Oakland R… 2-3
May 22 Sacrament… vs San Jose … 4-3
May 08 Sacrament… vs Monterrey 2-0
Apr 21 Sacrament… vs Orange Co… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Orange County SC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 21, 2024 Orange County SC 0 - 2 Sacramento Republic USL Championsh…
Mar 10, 2024 Sacramento Republic 2 - 2 Orange County SC USL Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Orange County SC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Orange County SC Power 0
Sacramento Republic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.