AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL May 24, 2025

HNK Gorica

Home
VS
17:15

NK Lokomotiva

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
HNK Gorica Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
NK Lokomotiva Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 3.80 - 0.99
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 1.0
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
HNK Gorica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
NK Lokomotiva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
HNK Gorica Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 28 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
Jan 10 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 2-0
Dec 21 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 1-4
Oct 05 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 2-0
Jul 13 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 3-0
Apr 06 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
Jan 28 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 1-2
NK Lokomotiva Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 17 NK Lokomo… vs Dinamo Za… 1-1
May 03 NK Lokomo… vs Istra 1961 0-0
Apr 26 NK Lokomo… vs NK Varažd… 2-1
Apr 13 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Hajdu… 1-1
Apr 06 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Rijeka 0-1
Mar 28 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Gorica 1-1
Mar 15 NK Lokomo… vs Dinamo Za… 3-0
Mar 04 NK Lokomo… vs Istra 1961 3-0
Feb 28 NK Lokomo… vs Istra 1961 3-2
Feb 21 NK Lokomo… vs NK Varažd… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • HNK Gorica struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 28, 2025 NK Lokomotiva 1 - 1 HNK Gorica HNL
Jan 10, 2025 NK Lokomotiva 2 - 0 HNK Gorica Friendlies Clu…
Dec 21, 2024 HNK Gorica 1 - 4 NK Lokomotiva HNL
Oct 05, 2024 NK Lokomotiva 2 - 0 HNK Gorica HNL
Jul 13, 2024 HNK Gorica 3 - 0 NK Lokomotiva Friendlies Clu…
Apr 06, 2024 NK Lokomotiva 1 - 1 HNK Gorica HNL
Jan 28, 2024 HNK Gorica 1 - 2 NK Lokomotiva HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
HNK Gorica Power 0
NK Lokomotiva Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

HNK Gorica Position

-1

Position Gap

7

NK Lokomotiva Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.