AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Mar 28, 2025

NK Lokomotiva

Home
VS
17:00

HNK Gorica

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
NK Lokomotiva Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
HNK Gorica Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.80 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
NK Lokomotiva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
HNK Gorica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
NK Lokomotiva Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 NK Lokomo… vs Dinamo Za… 3-0
Mar 04 NK Lokomo… vs Istra 1961 3-0
Feb 28 NK Lokomo… vs Istra 1961 3-2
Feb 21 NK Lokomo… vs NK Varažd… 1-0
Feb 02 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Hajdu… 3-2
Jan 26 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Rijeka 4-1
Jan 18 NK Lokomo… vs NK Varažd… 3-2
Jan 10 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Gorica 2-0
Dec 21 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Gorica 1-4
Dec 14 NK Lokomo… vs Dinamo Za… 3-1
HNK Gorica Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 2-0
Dec 21 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 1-4
Oct 05 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 2-0
Jul 13 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 3-0
Apr 06 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • NK Lokomotiva struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • HNK Gorica struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 10, 2025 NK Lokomotiva 2 - 0 HNK Gorica Friendlies Clu…
Dec 21, 2024 HNK Gorica 1 - 4 NK Lokomotiva HNL
Oct 05, 2024 NK Lokomotiva 2 - 0 HNK Gorica HNL
Jul 13, 2024 HNK Gorica 3 - 0 NK Lokomotiva Friendlies Clu…
Apr 06, 2024 NK Lokomotiva 1 - 1 HNK Gorica HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NK Lokomotiva to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 92
NK Lokomotiva Power 0
HNK Gorica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

NK Lokomotiva Position

+1

Position Gap

8

HNK Gorica Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.