AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Dec 21, 2024

HNK Gorica

Home
VS
14:00

NK Lokomotiva

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
HNK Gorica Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
NK Lokomotiva Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.80 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
HNK Gorica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
NK Lokomotiva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
HNK Gorica Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 2-0
Jul 13 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 3-0
Apr 06 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
Jan 28 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 1-2
NK Lokomotiva Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 NK Lokomo… vs Dinamo Za… 3-1
Dec 01 NK Lokomo… vs Istra 1961 1-2
Nov 23 NK Lokomo… vs NK Varažd… 1-1
Oct 26 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Hajdu… 2-1
Oct 18 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Rijeka 2-2
Oct 05 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Gorica 2-0
Sep 28 NK Lokomo… vs Dinamo Za… 5-1
Sep 14 NK Lokomo… vs Istra 1961 0-2
Sep 01 NK Lokomo… vs NK Varažd… 0-1
Aug 11 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Hajdu… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2024 NK Lokomotiva 2 - 0 HNK Gorica HNL
Jul 13, 2024 HNK Gorica 3 - 0 NK Lokomotiva Friendlies Clu…
Apr 06, 2024 NK Lokomotiva 1 - 1 HNK Gorica HNL
Jan 28, 2024 HNK Gorica 1 - 2 NK Lokomotiva HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
HNK Gorica Power 0
NK Lokomotiva Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

HNK Gorica Position

-1

Position Gap

7

NK Lokomotiva Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.