AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligat Ha'al Apr 14, 2025

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Home
VS
16:45

Beitar Jerusalem

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Beitar Jerusalem Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 49%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.33 - 1.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 1.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Beitar Jerusalem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 0-3
Mar 31 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… 1-3
Mar 15 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 2-0
Mar 10 Hapoel Be… vs Beitar Je… 1-1
Mar 03 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 3-3
Feb 27 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 2-0
Feb 22 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 1-2
Feb 15 Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Tib… 4-0
Feb 06 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi K… 2-2
Feb 01 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… 1-0
Beitar Jerusalem Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 10 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi T… 1-5
Apr 08 Beitar Je… vs Shimshon … 1-0
Apr 06 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Ha… 0-1
Apr 04 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi A… 2-1
Mar 21 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi Y… 1-0
Mar 16 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi H… 3-3
Mar 10 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Be… 1-1
Mar 07 Beitar Je… vs Holon Yer… 2-0
Feb 21 Beitar Je… vs Dimona 2-0
Feb 21 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Ka… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Beitar Jerusalem struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 10, 2025 Beitar Jerusalem 1 - 1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
Dec 09, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 - 1 Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al
Mar 04, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 - 0 Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al
Jan 27, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 - 0 Beitar Jerusalem State Cup
Dec 23, 2023 Beitar Jerusalem 4 - 4 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hapoel Beer Sheva to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Beer Sheva Power 0
Beitar Jerusalem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Hapoel Beer Sheva Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Beitar Jerusalem Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 89%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.