AI Match Insights

Ligat Ha'al Mar 10, 2025

Beitar Jerusalem

Home
VS
18:30

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Beitar Jerusalem Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.79 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Beitar Jerusalem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (37%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 92%
Beitar Jerusalem Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 Beitar Je… vs Holon Yer… 2-0
Feb 21 Beitar Je… vs Dimona 2-0
Feb 21 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Ka… 1-1
Feb 21 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi K… 0-1
Feb 15 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Ha… 3-2
Feb 12 Beitar Je… vs Shimshon … 2-4
Feb 03 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi T… 1-1
Jan 25 Beitar Je… vs Bnei Sakh… 1-0
Jan 24 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi Y… 1-0
Jan 18 Beitar Je… vs Ironi Kir… 0-3
Hapoel Beer Sheva Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 3-3
Feb 27 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 2-0
Feb 22 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 1-2
Feb 15 Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Tib… 4-0
Feb 06 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi K… 2-2
Feb 01 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… 1-0
Jan 30 Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Nes… 1-1
Jan 24 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi A… 0-0
Jan 19 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Ka… 0-2
Jan 17 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi N… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Beitar Jerusalem in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 09, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 - 1 Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al
Mar 04, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 - 0 Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al
Jan 27, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 - 0 Beitar Jerusalem State Cup
Dec 23, 2023 Beitar Jerusalem 4 - 4 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Beitar Jerusalem to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Beitar Jerusalem Power 0
Hapoel Beer Sheva Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Beitar Jerusalem Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Hapoel Beer Sheva Position

Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.