AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligat Ha'al Dec 09, 2024

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Home
VS
18:30

Beitar Jerusalem

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Beitar Jerusalem Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 49%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.20 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.8
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Beitar Jerusalem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 0-2
Nov 30 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 1-0
Nov 28 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi N… 1-3
Nov 09 Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Tib… 0-2
Oct 26 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… 1-1
Oct 06 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Ka… 3-1
Sep 29 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Ha… 3-0
Sep 14 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… 1-0
Sep 13 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi K… 0-3
Sep 06 Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Nes… 3-0
Beitar Jerusalem Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 01 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Ka… 3-3
Nov 28 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi Y… 3-3
Nov 09 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Ha… 1-0
Nov 05 Beitar Je… vs Bnei Sakh… 2-1
Nov 01 Beitar Je… vs Holon Yer… 0-0
Oct 28 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi T… 3-1
Oct 22 Beitar Je… vs Dimona 3-1
Oct 22 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi K… 0-0
Oct 22 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi H… 3-2
Oct 15 Beitar Je… vs Shimshon … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 04, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 - 0 Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al
Jan 27, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 - 0 Beitar Jerusalem State Cup
Dec 23, 2023 Beitar Jerusalem 4 - 4 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hapoel Beer Sheva to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Beer Sheva Power 0
Beitar Jerusalem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Hapoel Beer Sheva Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Beitar Jerusalem Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 89%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.