AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
State Cup Jan 27, 2024

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Home
VS
18:00

Beitar Jerusalem

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Beitar Jerusalem Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.75 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Beitar Jerusalem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Ka… 0-1
Jan 16 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Pe… 2-0
Jan 13 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Te… 0-4
Jan 06 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… 4-2
Dec 26 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Ha… 4-0
Dec 23 Hapoel Be… vs Beitar Je… 4-4
Dec 20 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… 0-1
Dec 11 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 1-0
Dec 06 Hapoel Be… vs Bnei Sakh… 1-2
Sep 30 Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Ka… 3-0
Beitar Jerusalem Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 22 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Te… 0-1
Jan 17 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi T… 1-2
Jan 15 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi A… 1-1
Jan 08 Beitar Je… vs Ashdod 1-1
Jan 04 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Ha… 3-2
Dec 27 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi T… 1-0
Dec 23 Beitar Je… vs Hapoel Be… 4-4
Dec 21 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi Y… 1-0
Dec 16 Beitar Je… vs Bnei Sakh… 1-1
Dec 10 Beitar Je… vs Maccabi H… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 23, 2023 Beitar Jerusalem 4 - 4 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hapoel Beer Sheva to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Beer Sheva Power 0
Beitar Jerusalem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.