AI Match Insights

Premier League 2 Division One Apr 04, 2025

Sunderland U21

Home
VS
18:00

Nottingham Forest U21

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Sunderland U21 Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Nottingham Forest U21 Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Sunderland U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Nottingham Forest U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Sunderland U21 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Sunderlan… vs Wolves U21 5-0
Feb 03 Sunderlan… vs Wolves U21 2-2
Jan 25 Sunderlan… vs Leicester… 1-2
Nov 30 Sunderlan… vs Mancheste… 2-3
Oct 25 Sunderlan… vs Norwich C… 0-3
Oct 21 Sunderlan… vs Wolves U21 2-0
Oct 07 Sunderlan… vs Derby Cou… 6-0
Aug 19 Sunderlan… vs Newcastle… 1-1
May 06 Sunderlan… vs Wolves U21 4-1
Apr 08 Sunderlan… vs Wolves U21 1-2
Nottingham Forest U21 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Nottingha… vs Nordsjæll… 2-1
Mar 07 Nottingha… vs Luton Tow… 2-0
Feb 24 Nottingha… vs Blackburn… 3-2
Feb 10 Nottingha… vs Derby Cou… 1-1
Dec 20 Nottingha… vs Monaco U21 3-1
Sep 30 Nottingha… vs Crystal P… 2-1
Aug 30 Nottingha… vs Reading F… 0-2
Aug 19 Nottingha… vs Wolves U21 2-0
May 11 Nottingha… vs Reading F… 3-1
Apr 29 Nottingha… vs Reading F… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sunderland U21 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Nottingham Forest U21 in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2024 Nottingham Forest U… 2 - 1 Sunderland U21 Premier League…
Jan 12, 2024 Nottingham Forest U… 0 - 5 Sunderland U21 Premier League…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sunderland U21 to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sunderland U21 Power 34
Nottingham Forest U21 Power 47
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

21

Sunderland U21 Position

-2

Position Gap

19

Nottingham Forest U21 Position

Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.