AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Feb 08, 2025

Apolonia Fier

Home
VS
12:30

Pogradeci

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Apolonia Fier Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Pogradeci Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Apolonia Fier Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Pogradeci Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Apolonia Fier Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Apolonia … vs Korabi Pe… 4-2
Jan 19 Apolonia … vs Burreli 0-1
Dec 22 Apolonia … vs Besa Kava… 0-2
Dec 07 Apolonia … vs Lushnja 2-1
Nov 24 Apolonia … vs Kastrioti… 1-0
Nov 20 Apolonia … vs Burreli 3-1
Nov 03 Apolonia … vs Pogradeci 1-0
Oct 26 Apolonia … vs Korabi Pe… 0-3
Oct 21 Apolonia … vs Burreli 1-1
Sep 28 Apolonia … vs Besa Kava… 1-2
Pogradeci Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Pogradeci vs Korabi Pe… 1-0
Jan 10 Pogradeci vs FK Kukesi 3-1
Dec 02 Pogradeci vs Besa Kava… 0-0
Nov 20 Pogradeci vs FK Kukesi 2-1
Nov 09 Pogradeci vs Kastrioti… 2-0
Nov 03 Pogradeci vs Apolonia … 1-0
Oct 30 Pogradeci vs Korabi Pe… 3-1
Oct 16 Pogradeci vs Luftëtari 2-0
Oct 05 Pogradeci vs FK Kukesi 2-0
Sep 11 Pogradeci vs Besa Kava… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Apolonia Fier in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Pogradeci struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2024 Pogradeci 1 - 0 Apolonia Fier 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Apolonia Fier Power 0
Pogradeci Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Apolonia Fier Position

-6

Position Gap

3

Pogradeci Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.