AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Mar 30, 2025

Kastrioti Krujë

Home
VS
12:00

FK Kukesi

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Kastrioti Krujë Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
FK Kukesi Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.74 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kastrioti Krujë Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
FK Kukesi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Kastrioti Krujë Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Kastrioti… vs Burreli 1-0
Feb 23 Kastrioti… vs Pogradeci 0-0
Feb 15 Kastrioti… vs Lushnja 1-0
Feb 08 Kastrioti… vs Korabi Pe… 2-1
Jan 19 Kastrioti… vs FK Kukesi 1-0
Dec 14 Kastrioti… vs Burreli 3-1
Nov 30 Kastrioti… vs Lushnja 2-0
Nov 24 Kastrioti… vs Apolonia … 1-0
Nov 20 Kastrioti… vs Korabi Pe… 1-4
Nov 09 Kastrioti… vs Pogradeci 2-0
FK Kukesi Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 FK Kukesi vs Besa Kava… 2-1
Feb 08 FK Kukesi vs Burreli 0-3
Feb 02 FK Kukesi vs Besa Kava… 2-1
Jan 25 FK Kukesi vs Lushnja 1-2
Jan 19 FK Kukesi vs Kastrioti… 1-0
Jan 14 FK Kukesi vs Laci 3-1
Jan 10 FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci 3-1
Nov 20 FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci 2-1
Nov 03 FK Kukesi vs Burreli 0-0
Oct 30 FK Kukesi vs Besa Kava… 0-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kastrioti Krujë struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • FK Kukesi struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 19, 2025 Kastrioti Krujë 1 - 0 FK Kukesi 1st Division
Oct 20, 2024 FK Kukesi 0 - 1 Kastrioti Krujë 1st Division
Apr 23, 2023 Kastrioti Krujë 1 - 0 FK Kukesi Superliga
Feb 11, 2023 FK Kukesi 1 - 0 Kastrioti Krujë Superliga
Nov 13, 2022 Kastrioti Krujë 1 - 1 FK Kukesi Superliga
Sep 03, 2022 FK Kukesi 1 - 2 Kastrioti Krujë Superliga
Apr 16, 2022 Kastrioti Krujë 1 - 0 FK Kukesi Superliga
Feb 13, 2022 FK Kukesi 4 - 0 Kastrioti Krujë Superliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kastrioti Krujë to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kastrioti Krujë Power 0
FK Kukesi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Kastrioti Krujë Position

+8

Position Gap

12

FK Kukesi Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.