AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Jan 19, 2025

Kastrioti Krujë

Home
VS
12:30

FK Kukesi

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Kastrioti Krujë Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
FK Kukesi Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Kastrioti Krujë Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
FK Kukesi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Kastrioti Krujë Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 Kastrioti… vs Burreli 3-1
Nov 30 Kastrioti… vs Lushnja 2-0
Nov 24 Kastrioti… vs Apolonia … 1-0
Nov 20 Kastrioti… vs Korabi Pe… 1-4
Nov 09 Kastrioti… vs Pogradeci 2-0
Nov 03 Kastrioti… vs Korabi Pe… 4-3
Oct 20 Kastrioti… vs FK Kukesi 0-1
Sep 21 Kastrioti… vs Burreli 2-1
Sep 11 Kastrioti… vs Lushnja 2-1
Aug 31 Kastrioti… vs Apolonia … 2-2
FK Kukesi Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 FK Kukesi vs Laci 3-1
Jan 10 FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci 3-1
Nov 20 FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci 2-1
Nov 03 FK Kukesi vs Burreli 0-0
Oct 30 FK Kukesi vs Besa Kava… 0-5
Oct 26 FK Kukesi vs Lushnja 5-0
Oct 20 FK Kukesi vs Kastrioti… 0-1
Oct 05 FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci 2-0
May 11 FK Kukesi vs Laci 2-0
Apr 19 FK Kukesi vs Skenderbe… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kastrioti Krujë in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 20, 2024 FK Kukesi 0 - 1 Kastrioti Krujë 1st Division
Apr 23, 2023 Kastrioti Krujë 1 - 0 FK Kukesi Superliga
Feb 11, 2023 FK Kukesi 1 - 0 Kastrioti Krujë Superliga
Nov 13, 2022 Kastrioti Krujë 1 - 1 FK Kukesi Superliga
Sep 03, 2022 FK Kukesi 1 - 2 Kastrioti Krujë Superliga
Apr 16, 2022 Kastrioti Krujë 1 - 0 FK Kukesi Superliga
Feb 13, 2022 FK Kukesi 4 - 0 Kastrioti Krujë Superliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kastrioti Krujë to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kastrioti Krujë Power 0
FK Kukesi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Kastrioti Krujë Position

+8

Position Gap

12

FK Kukesi Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.