AI Match Insights

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1st Division Oct 20, 2024

FK Kukesi

Home
VS
12:00

Kastrioti Krujƫ

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
FK Kukesi Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Kastrioti Krujƫ Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.43 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FK Kukesi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Kastrioti Krujƫ Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
FK Kukesi Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci 2-0
May 11 FK Kukesi vs Laci 2-0
Apr 19 FK Kukesi vs Skenderbeā€¦ 0-2
Mar 11 FK Kukesi vs Laci 1-0
Feb 11 FK Kukesi vs Skenderbeā€¦ 1-0
Dec 23 FK Kukesi vs Laci 1-1
Nov 28 FK Kukesi vs Skenderbeā€¦ 2-2
Oct 22 FK Kukesi vs Laci 1-0
Sep 23 FK Kukesi vs Skenderbeā€¦ 0-1
May 17 FK Kukesi vs Laci 3-0
Kastrioti Krujƫ Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Kastriotiā€¦ vs Burreli 2-1
Sep 11 Kastriotiā€¦ vs Lushnja 2-1
Aug 31 Kastriotiā€¦ vs Apolonia ā€¦ 2-2
Aug 24 Kastriotiā€¦ vs Pogradeci 3-1
May 08 Kastriotiā€¦ vs Korabi Peā€¦ 4-2
May 04 Kastriotiā€¦ vs Lushnja 0-0
Apr 21 Kastriotiā€¦ vs Burreli 3-1
Mar 03 Kastriotiā€¦ vs Apolonia ā€¦ 2-0
Feb 17 Kastriotiā€¦ vs Apolonia ā€¦ 1-1
Feb 11 Kastriotiā€¦ vs Lushnja 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kastrioti KrujĆ« in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • FK Kukesi struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FK Kukesi Power 0
Kastrioti Krujƫ Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

FK Kukesi Position

-8

Position Gap

4

Kastrioti Krujƫ Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.