AI Match Insights

Professional Development League Feb 12, 2024

Swansea City U21

Home
VS
19:00

AFC Bournemouth U21

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Swansea City U21 Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
AFC Bournemouth U21 Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.75 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Swansea City U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
AFC Bournemouth U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Swansea City U21 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Swansea C… vs Charlton … 1-0
Jan 20 Swansea C… vs The New S… 5-1
Jan 12 Swansea C… vs Colcheste… 1-2
Jan 08 Swansea C… vs Millwall … 3-0
Jan 03 Swansea C… vs Cardiff M… 0-0
Dec 01 Swansea C… vs Colcheste… 4-1
Nov 21 Swansea C… vs Bristol C… 0-3
Oct 02 Swansea C… vs Watford U… 4-4
May 05 Swansea C… vs Bristol C… 3-1
Apr 11 Swansea C… vs Millwall … 3-1
AFC Bournemouth U21 Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 AFC Bourn… vs Millwall … 2-3
Jan 27 AFC Bourn… vs Charlton … 4-0
Jan 12 AFC Bourn… vs Cardiff C… 3-2
Jan 09 AFC Bourn… vs Bristol C… 0-1
Oct 24 AFC Bourn… vs Bristol C… 4-0
Sep 29 AFC Bourn… vs Colcheste… 0-1
Sep 26 AFC Bourn… vs Charlton … 1-0
Sep 19 AFC Bourn… vs Charlton … 0-4
Sep 09 AFC Bourn… vs Hull City… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AFC Bournemouth U21 in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Swansea City U21 Power 44
AFC Bournemouth U21 Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Swansea City U21 Position

-4

Position Gap

3

AFC Bournemouth U21 Position

Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.