AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Jun 29, 2024

Vasco DA Gama

Home
VS
21:30

Botafogo

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Vasco DA Gama Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Botafogo Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.58 - 1.99
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 2.0
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Vasco DA Gama Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 02 Vasco DA … vs Flamengo 1-6
May 22 Vasco DA … vs Fortaleza 3-3
Apr 20 Vasco DA … vs Fluminense 2-1
Apr 18 Vasco DA … vs Humaitá 1-1
Apr 15 Vasco DA … vs Rio Branc… 3-3
Apr 14 Vasco DA … vs Remo 2-1
Mar 19 Vasco DA … vs ADESG 2-1
Mar 17 Vasco DA … vs Nova Igua… 1-0
Mar 10 Vasco DA … vs Rio Branc… 2-0
Mar 10 Vasco DA … vs Nova Igua… 1-1
Botafogo Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 16 Botafogo vs Gremio 1-2
Jun 11 Botafogo vs Fluminense 1-0
Jun 02 Botafogo vs Corinthia… 0-1
May 28 Botafogo vs Novorizon… 0-1
May 23 Botafogo vs Palmeiras 0-0
May 22 Botafogo vs Vitoria 1-2
May 12 Botafogo vs Fortaleza 1-1
May 03 Botafogo vs Palmeiras 2-1
May 02 Botafogo vs Vitoria 1-0
Apr 14 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Botafogo in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 18, 2024 Botafogo 2 - 4 Vasco DA Gama Carioca - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Botafogo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Vasco DA Gama Position

-7

Position Gap

8

Botafogo Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.