AI Match Insights

League One Aug 16, 2025

Brighton

Home
VS
11:30

Port Vale

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Brighton Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Port Vale Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.35 - 1.52
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brighton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Port Vale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-2 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 0-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Brighton Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Brighton vs Burnley 3-2
Aug 09 Brighton vs VfL Wolfs… 2-0
Aug 02 Brighton vs Mansfield… 2-1
May 25 Brighton vs Tottenham 1-4
May 19 Brighton vs Liverpool 3-2
May 10 Brighton vs Wolves 0-2
May 04 Brighton vs Newcastle… 1-1
May 03 Brighton vs Charlton 3-1
Apr 29 Brighton vs Wigan 1-1
Apr 26 Brighton vs West Brom 3-2
Port Vale Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Port Vale vs Blackpool 0-1
Aug 07 Port Vale vs Cardiff 0-0
Aug 02 Port Vale vs Rotherham… 2-1
Jul 12 Port Vale vs Bath City 1-5
May 03 Port Vale vs Birmingham 0-1
May 03 Port Vale vs Birmingham 0-1
Apr 26 Port Vale vs AFC Wimbl… 0-2
Apr 26 Port Vale vs AFC Wimbl… 0-2
Apr 21 Port Vale vs Grimsby 2-2
Apr 21 Port Vale vs Grimsby 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Brighton in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brighton to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brighton Power 36
Port Vale Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.