AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Aug 16, 2025

Exeter City

Home
VS
11:30

Mansfield Town FC

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Exeter City Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Mansfield Town FC Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 4.34 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Exeter City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Mansfield Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Exeter City Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Exeter Ci… vs Chelsea 2-0
Aug 09 Exeter Ci… vs Blackpool 4-1
Aug 02 Exeter Ci… vs Doncaster 1-0
Jul 25 Exeter Ci… vs Torquay 1-1
May 03 Exeter Ci… vs Mansfield… 3-0
Apr 26 Exeter Ci… vs Huddersfi… 3-1
Apr 21 Exeter Ci… vs Crawley T… 3-1
Apr 18 Exeter Ci… vs Bolton 0-0
Apr 18 Exeter Ci… vs Brighton 0-0
Apr 12 Exeter Ci… vs Bristol C… 1-2
Mansfield Town FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Mansfield… vs Chesterfi… 0-2
Aug 09 Mansfield… vs Doncaster 1-2
Aug 02 Mansfield… vs Brighton 2-1
May 03 Mansfield… vs Exeter Ci… 3-0
Apr 30 Mansfield… vs Peterboro… 4-2
Apr 27 Mansfield… vs Birmingham 4-0
Apr 21 Mansfield… vs Reading FC 1-5
Apr 18 Mansfield… vs Rotherham… 3-3
Apr 08 Mansfield… vs Leyton Or… 2-3
Apr 05 Mansfield… vs Huddersfi… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mansfield Town FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Exeter City struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2025 Mansfield Town FC 3 - 0 Exeter City League One
Mar 11, 2025 Exeter City 2 - 0 Mansfield Town FC League One
Mar 04, 2022 Mansfield Town FC 2 - 1 Exeter City League Two
Oct 23, 2021 Exeter City 2 - 1 Mansfield Town FC League Two
Apr 05, 2021 Exeter City 0 - 0 Mansfield Town FC League Two
Sep 26, 2020 Mansfield Town FC 1 - 2 Exeter City League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Exeter City Power 36
Mansfield Town FC Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Exeter City Position

-2

Position Gap

11

Mansfield Town FC Position
Home Win Rate: 54%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.