AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Carioca SĂ©rie C Jul 03, 2025

Paraty

Home
VS
17:45

Santa Cruz RN

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Paraty Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Santa Cruz RN Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.25 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.9
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paraty Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Santa Cruz RN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Paraty Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 09 Paraty vs Santa Cru… 1-0
Santa Cruz RN Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 05 Santa Cru… vs ABC 0-1
Mar 15 Santa Cru… vs Sport Rec… 0-1
Mar 15 Santa Cru… vs América-RN 2-0
Mar 09 Santa Cru… vs América-RN 2-1
Mar 08 Santa Cru… vs Sport Rec… 2-0
Feb 23 Santa Cru… vs Potiguar … 0-1
Feb 22 Santa Cru… vs Maguary PE 0-0
Feb 19 Santa Cru… vs Nautico R… 0-4
Feb 15 Santa Cru… vs Potiguar … 2-0
Feb 07 Santa Cru… vs Jaguaré 0-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Cruz RN struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 09, 2024 Santa Cruz RN 1 - 0 Paraty Carioca SĂ©rie C
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paraty to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paraty Power 0
Santa Cruz RN Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.