AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Dec 13, 2024

Real Espana

Home
VS
01:30

CD Motagua

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Real Espana Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
CD Motagua Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.53
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Espana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
CD Motagua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (21%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Real Espana Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Real Espa… vs Génesis 2-0
Dec 05 Real Espa… vs Génesis 1-1
Dec 01 Real Espa… vs Lobos Upn… 0-0
Nov 25 Real Espa… vs Victoria 0-0
Nov 07 Real Espa… vs CD Olimpia 1-0
Oct 27 Real Espa… vs Génesis 1-1
Oct 21 Real Espa… vs Olancho 1-1
Oct 06 Real Espa… vs CD Motagua 0-4
Sep 22 Real Espa… vs Lobos Upn… 1-0
Sep 20 Real Espa… vs Victoria 1-1
CD Motagua Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 CD Motagua vs Juticalpa 1-3
Oct 27 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Oct 06 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 0-4
Sep 28 CD Motagua vs Lobos Upn… 0-2
Sep 18 CD Motagua vs Juticalpa 3-0
Aug 18 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Aug 03 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 1-0
Jul 27 CD Motagua vs Lobos Upn… 4-2
May 12 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 3-4
May 09 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • CD Motagua in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 06, 2024 CD Motagua 0 - 4 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Aug 03, 2024 Real Espana 1 - 0 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Apr 11, 2024 CD Motagua 1 - 1 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Espana to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Espana Power 0
CD Motagua Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Real Espana Position

-1

Position Gap

2

CD Motagua Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.