AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Cearense - 1 Apr 06, 2024

Ceará

Home
VS
19:40

Fortaleza

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Ceará Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Fortaleza Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.46 - 1.19
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ceará Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Fortaleza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Ceará Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Ceará vs Fortaleza 0-0
Mar 21 Ceará vs Fortaleza 0-1
Mar 16 Ceará vs Ferroviár… 1-1
Mar 09 Ceará vs Ferroviár… 2-3
Feb 17 Ceará vs Fortaleza 3-3
Jan 27 Ceará vs Floresta 1-0
Nov 25 Ceará vs Juventude 1-3
Nov 18 Ceará vs Vila Nova 3-1
Apr 08 Ceará vs Fortaleza 2-2
Mar 18 Ceará vs Iguatu 2-0
Fortaleza Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Fortaleza vs Ceará 0-0
Mar 21 Fortaleza vs Ceará 0-1
Mar 17 Fortaleza vs Maracanaú… 3-0
Mar 10 Fortaleza vs Maracanaú… 1-1
Feb 17 Fortaleza vs Ceará 3-3
Feb 07 Fortaleza vs Ferroviár… 1-1
Jan 31 Fortaleza vs Iguatu 3-1
Jan 20 Fortaleza vs Horizonte 2-0
Dec 07 Fortaleza vs Santos 1-2
Dec 03 Fortaleza vs Goiás 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 30, 2024 Fortaleza 0 - 0 Ceará Cearense - 1
Mar 21, 2024 Fortaleza 0 - 1 Ceará Copa do Nordes…
Feb 17, 2024 Fortaleza 3 - 3 Ceará Cearense - 1
Apr 08, 2023 Ceará 2 - 2 Fortaleza Cearense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ceará to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ceará Power 0
Fortaleza Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Ceará Position

0

Position Gap

1

Fortaleza Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.