AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Cearense - 1 Mar 30, 2024

Fortaleza

Home
VS
19:40

Ceará

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Fortaleza Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Ceará Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 35%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.74 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Fortaleza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Ceará Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Fortaleza Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 21 Fortaleza vs Ceará 0-1
Mar 17 Fortaleza vs Maracanaú… 3-0
Mar 10 Fortaleza vs Maracanaú… 1-1
Feb 17 Fortaleza vs Ceará 3-3
Feb 07 Fortaleza vs Ferroviár… 1-1
Jan 31 Fortaleza vs Iguatu 3-1
Jan 20 Fortaleza vs Horizonte 2-0
Dec 07 Fortaleza vs Santos 1-2
Dec 03 Fortaleza vs Goiás 1-0
Nov 30 Fortaleza vs RB Bragan… 1-2
Ceará Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 21 Ceará vs Fortaleza 0-1
Mar 16 Ceará vs Ferroviár… 1-1
Mar 09 Ceará vs Ferroviár… 2-3
Feb 17 Ceará vs Fortaleza 3-3
Jan 27 Ceará vs Floresta 1-0
Nov 25 Ceará vs Juventude 1-3
Nov 18 Ceará vs Vila Nova 3-1
Apr 08 Ceará vs Fortaleza 2-2
Mar 18 Ceará vs Iguatu 2-0
Mar 12 Ceará vs Iguatu 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ceará in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 21, 2024 Fortaleza 0 - 1 Ceará Copa do Nordes…
Feb 17, 2024 Fortaleza 3 - 3 Ceará Cearense - 1
Apr 08, 2023 Ceará 2 - 2 Fortaleza Cearense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fortaleza to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fortaleza Power 0
Ceará Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Fortaleza Position

0

Position Gap

1

Ceará Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.